Monday, April 18, 2016

April 6-10, 2016 Forecast Results

On March 16, 2016, I posted some long-range weather forecasts for April of this year. The first one was for the period between April 6-10. Here's the original forecast.

Forecast
Between these dates the Sun will participate in the Jupiter-Uranus configuration adding important energy to the mix. The potential exists for a strong front to move into the West Coast states bringing precipitation. The eastern portion of the country should see a strong cold front that ignites storm activity from the eastern Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic area as it moves eastward.

Results
The strong cold front forecast over the eastern portions of the country arrived as scheduled. Here's the AccuWeather map showing the arctic push between the 7th and 10th.


07 When Will It Warm

AccuWeather also reported that the cold threatened significant losses of fruit crop in the northeastern U.S. and high winds for the New England area.

In addition, the forecast called for storm activity from the eastern Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic area. The next AccuWeather map shows that storm system on the 8th and 9th.

07 Snowy wintry mix

Forecast
For the West Coast, the forecast mentioned a strong front bringing precipitation. On the 8th, AccuWeather meteorologists warned "Storm to soak San Diego to San Francisco this weekend." The storm was forecast to roll onto the California coast, threatening to bring flash flooding, gusty thunderstorms and travel delays. The AccuWeather map below shows the areas to be affected.

08 San Diego

The National Weather Service reported that another upper-level low would move in over the Pacific Northwest affecting Southern California and the Southwest. The low then remained nearly stationary from southern Idaho to the southern Rockies bringing numerous showers over the Desert Southwest and California.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts 
April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

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Saturday, April 02, 2016

May 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts

About six times a year the Sun and Mercury form a conjunction. A conjunction is when two or more celestial bodies are located along the same celestial longitude when observed from the earth. About 3 of those conjunctions occur when Mercury is in retrograde motion. This means that Mercury appears to be moving backward in the sky. In astro-meteorology, these conjunctions with a retrograde Mercury are known to excite windy, stormy conditions and cold fronts.

May 8-13, 2016

On May 9th of this year, we have one such conjunction. Our key chart for the spring season places the Sun and Mercury over the eastern Plains roughly from Texas through Missouri to the western Great Lakes. Another important chart is the solar eclipse chart of May 9, 2013. The Sun-Mercury conjunction will fall exactly on this degree. The astro-locality map below shows the area to be affected which lies over the eastern central portion of the US. Taken together the US midsection should feel the effects of the conjunction.

Sun Mercury May 2016

To get an idea of what actually can happen during one of these conjunctions, we can look at the weather pattern formed over the US Midwest on March 5, 2013 when a Sun-Mercury conjunction took place with a retrograde Mercury over the eastern Plains and Mississippi Valley. A winter storm affected the area with heavy snow and then high winds disrupted travel. Here's the AccuWeather map for that day.

04 Minneapolis

So we should expect a strong cold front or storm system bringing windy conditions to the area from the eastern Plains through the east central US.

May 12-15, 2016

Another interesting setup is the Mercury-Venus conjunction of May 13th. Mercury is still retrograde at this time. One of our key charts places Mercury, Venus, and the Moon over the Rocky Mountains and Great Basin areas of the US as seen in the map below.

Mercury Venus May 2016

The last time a Mercury-Venus conjunction affected the US West was on August 6, 2015. At that time the National Weather Service reported an increase in temperatures over the area and an upper level disturbance crossing California and the Intermountain West which increased showers and thunderstorms. We may expect a similar increase in temperatures and in shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Saturday, March 26, 2016

March 23-26, 2016 Forecast Results

Here are the results of the last of the March forecasts posted on January 9th of this year. The basis for the long-range weather forecast was the alignment of Jupiter and Saturn. This particular segment of the forecast was for the March 23-26 period. You can read the original forecast here.

The area to be affected by the alignment centered on the 80th degree of west longitude which takes in the eastern Great Lakes and runs southward through the Carolinas. The New England area was also to be affected as can be seen from the astro-locality map below.

Jupiter Saturn

On the 24th, a low pressure system over the eastern Great Lakes and a trailing cold front aligned itself with the Saturn line running through 80 west longitude. The Weather Channel map below shows the low and front.

Mar 24

My forecast expected strong storms with potential to bring torrential downpours and gusty winds. The National Weather Service reported on the 25th that "a strong cold front moving eastward through the Ohio Valley this evening will continue to fuel heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across portions of the central/eastern Gulf Coast to the lower Great Lakes."

AccuWeather also pointed out that the Mid-Atlantic would experience blustery conditions which "will mark an end to the above-average warmth" that had prevailed over the region.

The New England area also participated in the effects of the low and front as seen in the AccuWeather map below for Friday, the 25th.

24 Late week

The National Weather Service declared that "snow and freezing rain will move into portions of northern New England with up to a quarter of an inch of ice possible."



Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast 
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

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Sunday, March 20, 2016

March 14-16, 2016 Forecast Results

In this post, I'll review the second of the March 2016 long-range forecasts that were published on January 9, 2016 in a post entitled March 2016 Long-range Forecasts. The second forecast period was that of March 14-16. The forecast called for storm potential over the the area from the western Great Lakes down through the Deep South with the likelihood of storms to focus over southern portions of the country.

The National Weather Service forecast for March 15-17 stated "Developing low pressure will be accompanied by significant rain across the Upper Mississippi Valley and Upper Midwest...

Accuweather headlines on the 14th stated "Election 2016: Severe storms may threaten voters in Missouri, Illinois on Tuesday" (March 15th)

Another headline of theirs read " Damaging winds, downpours to target Chicago, Indianapolis Tuesday"

The Weather Channel map below is for the 15th.

Mar 15

The Deep South became the focal point of a stationary front as shown in the Accuweather Map below for the 17th. Their headline warned "Late-week rain could aggravate flooding from Texas to Louisiana, Mississippi"

16 Texas Louisiana

Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

March 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Mass Gains of Antarctic Ice Sheet Greater than Losses, NASA Study Reports (click to read)

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Wednesday, March 16, 2016

April 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast

During April of this year, Jupiter and Uranus will enter into an important alignment that will affect weather patterns over various parts of the United States. Alignments of this nature are known to result in strong cold fronts, increased precipitation, and heightened wind velocities. It may be helpful to review what weather patterns occurred during the last Jupiter-Uranus alignment in order to get a better understanding of its effects on the weather. Let's turn back the clock to October of last year.

Between the 19th and 22nd of October 2015, the planets Venus and Mars entered into a configuration that added impetus to the alignment of Jupiter and Uranus that was already underway. The locality map below shows that Uranus was positioned over the Rocky Mountains at about 110 west longitude while Jupiter was placed over the eastern Pacific at 141 west longitude.

Juipter Uranus 2015

On the 18th, the National Weather Service warned that a deep trough and upper level low would affect the western U.S. with the heaviest activity from northern Arizona to the northern Rockies where 1 to 2 inches of rain or higher could lead to flash flooding.

For the 20th, the forecast was for additional heavy rains for the Southwest and south-central Rockies.
Flash flooding was called for on the 21st for portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains. The NWS warned of a stationary boundary over the Four Corners region and anomalous pools of moisture to increase the likelihood of heavy rain and/or intense rainfall over the region on the 22nd. Further south, Hurricane Patricia, with sustained winds of 200 mph, was being drawn toward the Uranus line at 110 west longitude.

April 2016

The next locality map shows the positions of Jupiter and Uranus during April 2016. Jupiter is represented by the blue line over the eastern U.S. at approximately 79 west longitude, while Uranus is shown by the black line off the U.S. West Coast.

Jupiter Uranus 2016

April 6-10, 2016

Between these dates the Sun will participate in the Jupiter-Uranus configuration adding important energy to the mix. The potential exists for a strong front to move into the West Coast states bringing precipitation. The eastern portion of the country should see a strong cold front that ignites storm activity from the eastern Great Lakes through the Mid-Atlantic area as it moves eastward.

April 22-25

At this time Venus aligns with the Jupiter-Uranus configuration and is likely to represent another round of fronts for the West Coast states and the eastern U.S.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

March 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Friday, March 11, 2016

March 8-10, 2016 Forecast Results

The January 9, 2016 Weather Alternative post covered a long-range forecast for March 8-10. This forecast predicted strong storms bringing wind and rain to the area comprising the western Great Lakes southward through the Deep South due to the alignment of Jupiter and Saturn. The post discussed how the previous alignment of Jupiter and Saturn during August of 2015 had brought torrential downpours and gusty winds to the U.S. Deep South and to certain Mexican states at that time.

The following map was posted to show the general area to be affected.

March 8 2016

On March 8th, the National Weather Service warned " Showers and thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the boundary from the Western Ohio Valley to the Lower Mississippi Valley/Southern
Plains and continue along and near the front through Thursday."

On the 9th, the NWS informed its readers with the headline "Heavy rain from parts of the Ohio Valley to the Lower Mississippi Valley and parts of the Southern Plains."

The following Weather Channel map provides a view of the low pressure area, rain, and front on the 9th.

Mar 09

Extensive flooding plagued Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The following AccuWeather map shows rain totals from 3 to 12 inches primarily over the Deep South area.

10 Texas Louisiana

More forecasts for March are posted here.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results
March 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Why the New Definition of Tolerance Is Dangerous  (click to read)



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Sunday, February 14, 2016

February 7-10, 2016 Forecast Results

My long-range weather forecast for February 7-10 was posted on January 6th. The forecast warned that due to the alignment between the Sun and Mars at that time We will likely see a strong winter storm system gear up over the central U.S. and affect the northern tier states and Midwest between February 7-10. The storm during this period could push eastward and affect the Mid-Atlantic coast on up through the Northeast and New England with a weather pattern similar to that of January 2014.

The National Weather Service reported on February 6th that A deep surface low will track across the Upper Mississippi Valley on Sunday (Feb 7)...that will usher in much colder temperatures for the north-central U.S....Temperatures departures from normal highs are expected to drop from +25 today to -10 for Monday. In addition, winds will strengthen through tonight and spread  southeastward across the region on Sunday along with snow showers. 

On the 7th, the NWS also reported A second storm system is currently producing blizzard-like
conditions throughout portions of the lower Northern Plains and Minnesota. They also reported frigid temperatures from the north with winds gusting to 40 and 50 mph.

For Sunday into Monday (Feb 7-8), AccuWeather.com posted the following map showing the storm system affecting the Northeast and New England with coastal flooding and strong winds. The Accuweather headling read Waves of arctic air to freeze the eastern US into Valentine's Day

06 Northeast 1

The second part of the forecast pertained to the western U.S. where I envisioned a round of winter storms punching their way into the West Coast. On the 6th, the National Weather Service reported strong and gusty winds for the 6th and 7th over portions of southern California due to building high pressure over the Great Basin area.

The high pressure area took hold and increased temperatures for the region as shown in the AccuWeather map below. Except for the aforementioned windy conditions, this is pretty much the opposite of what I expected. Although the effect of the planet Mars on the weather has traditionally been that of increasing temperatures, I foresaw this particular Sun-Mars alignment as being more of a storm breeder than anything else.

08 West

Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results
March 2016 Long-range Weather Forecasts
Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Budget Cuts May Lead to Climate Scientists Losing Jobs 


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