Saturday, August 29, 2015

California Drought and El Niño: Fall 2015 Forecast

The accompanying map from the U.S Drought Monitor website shows the exceptional drought conditions over California as of August 25, 2015.

25 Cal Drought

The Climate Prediction Center's outlook for September, October, and November of this year in the next map shows above-average rainfall likely over Arizona and into California as well as other areas of the Desert Southwest. Recently, an AccuWeather post for Fall 2015 also held out a bit of hope by saying, "An expected strong El Niño will lead to beneficial rain for Southern California, but it may be delayed until late fall and winter."

Three month SON 2015

In this post, I'll consider some dates when drought conditions may be alleviated based on planetary cycles that culminate in September of this year and are then triggered later in October. The main player is the Jupiter-Neptune opposition of September 17, 2015. At the time of their opposition, they will be over 119 degrees west longitude through California.

Ju Ne

From another perspective, the New Moon of September 13th places them along 112 west longitude through Arizona. The conjunctions and oppositions of Jupiter and Neptune induce isolated torrential downpours and are potential flash flood breeders according to G. J. McCormack, the 20th Century's ablest astro-meteorologist. So there is the potential that around the 17th of September we may see precipitation over this area as well as around September 26th when the Moon will conjoin and oppose this degree. But I'm even more concerned about a couple of dates in October.

On October 6th, Mars will oppose Neptune--another combination known for producing semi-tropical low pressure areas. This opposition will fall right on the Jupiter-Neptune opposition of September 17th mentioned above. Hence, this could be another period--in and around October 6th--where beneficial rain is seen over California. To a lesser extent, when Venus and Neptune oppose each other on October 16th and activate the same Jupiter-Neptune aspect there may be more moisture flowing in over the same area.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

4 horsemen

Why Pro-Abortion is Anti-Science (read here)


Tuesday, August 11, 2015

August 3-7, 2015 Forecast Results

My article Celestial Storm Warnings! - Predicting the 2015 Hurricane Season that appeared in the June 2015 edition of Dell Horoscope contained a forecast for August 3-7. There were two forecasts for this period: one for the west coast of Mexico over the states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan, and surrounding areas, and another for the U.S. Deep South centering over Alabama.

I expected some type of severe weather pattern such as above-average rainfall or a tropical system over the above-mentioned area of Mexico, and either a tropical system or severe thunderstorms and dangerous atmospheric conditions over the Deep South.

Mexico

The first map below shows the area over Mexico where planetary influence was centered and consequently where severe weather was expected.

Aug 4 2015 Mexico
On August 3rd, the National Meteorological Service of Mexico issued heavy rain warnings for Jalisco, Michoacan and other Mexican states effective August 4th. According to their advisory, Tropical Wave #24 would bring 2 to 3 inches of rain in Jalisco and other states, and 1 to 2 inches of rain to Colima, Michoacan and other areas.

Their forecast for August 5th called for 1 to 2 inches of rain over Jalisco and Michoacan, and on the 6th heavy rain was imminent over Jalisco, Michoacan, and surrounding territories. The weather map below is for August 4th and shows Tropical Wave #24 south of the forecast area with its associated rain over the forecast area.

04 Mexico

Alabama 

A low pressure area developed over coastal Georgia on the 3rd and is shown in the National Hurricane Center map below. Upper-level winds were not favorable for development.

03 Tropics

On the 6th, AccuWeather reported the following: "Birmingham and Tuscaloosa, Alabama, as well as Atlanta, Georgia, are expected to see strong thunderstorms through the evening as torrential downpours and gusty winds blow across the area."  The National Weather Service also issued a tornado warning for south central Pike County in Alabama. The AccuWeather map below shows the area affected.

06 Dual Threat

Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Monday, August 03, 2015

July 23-27, 2015 Forecast Results

The next long-range weather forecast that appeared in the June 2015 edition of Dell Horoscope looked at the July 23-27 period. Due to the Mars-Uranus square of July 25th, I forecast tropical storm or hurricane potential off the U.S. East Coast around 69 west longitude and 37 north latitude. Let's see what happened.

Starting on July 20th, and for roughly the next 7 days, conventional meteorologists such as those at AccuWeather and The Weather Channel began to warn of the possibility of tropical storm formation both in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and off the U.S. Southeast coast. Below is the AccuWeather map for their forecast.

20 Tropical System

AccuWeather stated that the area of concern stretched from the Gulf of Mexico all the way to the waters off the Carolinas. This last area is around the area where I was expecting to see a tropical system develop.

Although no tropical system developed in spite of their forecasts or mine, from July 29-30, the National Weather Service reported on a low pressure center that moved to 72 west longitude/36 north latitude prompting gale warnings. The low pressure center was not far from the coordinates mentioned in my forecast -- approximately 180 miles away.

There was at least some kind of weather "reaction" over the area mentioned in the long-range forecast. But why the delay? I've seen this happen with other forecasts, and in these cases I've noticed that the expected weather pattern based on the planetary alignment in question sometimes does not manifest until the Moon either conjoins or opposes the degree of the planetary alignment. In this case, the Moon opposed the position of Mars on July 30th when the low pressure area developed. This is an area requiring further study.


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast
Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Friday, July 17, 2015

Hurricane Dolores Fulfills Long-range Weather Forecast

The next long-range weather forecast that appeared in the June 2015 edition of Dell Horoscope focused on the July 15-17 period. These forecasts were prepared starting in July 2014 and were sent to the publisher in January of 2015. Two forecasts were made. Let's see how they turned out.

The first forecast pinpointed the southern tip of Baja, California as a place ripe for tropical storm or hurricane activity at this time. The reason was that the last alignment between Uranus and Pluto in March of 2015 placed these two planets over that area as shown in the astro-locality map below.

Uranus-Pluto
Between July 15-17 the conjunction of Mercury and Mars in opposition to Pluto would fall on this planetary crossing and activate it bringing the possibility of a tropical system over this area. The AccuWeather map below from their July 16th post on Hurricane Dolores shows the category 4 hurricane affecting western Mexico and the Baja, thus fulfilling the forecast.

16 Dolores

The next area mentioned in the forecast had to do with the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. At this location, the Mercury-Mars-Pluto alignment would trigger the previous lunar eclipse of April 2015. The forecast called for possible tropical activity over this region.

Between July 15th and 17th, two tropical waves passed over the Yucatan according to Mexico's national weather service (Servico Meteorológico National). The first tropical wave brought electrical storms, rain, and winds of up to 20 mph with gusts reaching 30 mph. The second one brought 1 to 2 inches of rain over the Yucatan with 2 to 3 inches of rain over the states directly west of the Yucatan. The next map below for the 17th shows Tropical Wave 17 passing over the forecast area.

Mexico July 17


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

New Ice Age Coming? 

Winter is coming: Earth awaits "mini ice age" in 15 years, solar cycle study suggests (click title to read)

USA-WEATHER/

Saturday, July 11, 2015

July 6-8, 2015 Forecast Results

Here are the results of the latest long-range forecast published in the June 2015 edition of Dell Horoscope. The forecast was based on the Sun-Pluto opposition and its trigger to the lunar eclipse chart of April 4, 2015. The Sun and Moon were rising and setting at the time of the eclipse near the Yucatan Peninsula and the Gulf of Mexico as can be seen in the following map.

Lunar Eclipse
When the Sun opposed Pluto on July 6th, it squared the lunar eclipse degree as they passed through the Yucatan and the Gulf as seen in the next map.


Sun 180 Pluto

Based on this, and other planetary alignments, the forecast pointed out that "around this time there is potential for severe weather to develop over this area, which may include possible tropical storm formation."

Results

July 5th - The National Weather Service of Mexico reported that Tropical Wave No. 13 was situated over the Yucatan Peninsula.

July 7th - The U.S. National Weather Service reported, "A trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula each evening...shift westward into the SW Gulf waters each night...and dissipate over the SW Gulf each morning."

July 9th - According to the National Weather Service the developing trough each evening over the Yucatan would provide moderate convection and "enhance wind and seas across the SW Gulf during the overnight hours."

July 10th - The NWS reports a tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula.

The NWS map below shows the situation over the Yucatan late on the 9th.


Tropics July 09b


Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

Thomas Jefferson

We hold these truths to be self-evident: that all men are created equal; that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights; that among these are life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.


-----
Rightful liberty is unobstructed action according to our will within limits drawn around us by the equal rights of others. I do not add 'within the limits of the law' because law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the rights of the individual.
-----
In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle, stand like a rock.

Friday, June 26, 2015

June 21, 2015 Forecast Results

In my June 2015 article in Dell Horoscope, I mentioned that there was a chance that a low pressure system could manifest over the Louisiana area around June 21st due to the placements of Mercury and Neptune in the key summer season chart. Here's a visual representation of how those two planets affect the area.

June 21
This crossing that we see over Louisiana has the potential to be activated later on in the season, and different forecasts will come up over the next months that will focus on this. But in the article, I thought that around June 21st we might see some low pressure activity since Mercury would square Neptune on the 23rd. In astro-meteorology, squares are disruptive influences on weather patterns. In the next map below, we see their positions on the 23rd, when they perfect their square. The crossing moves southward into the Gulf of Mexico.

June 25
You'll notice I put a little circle to the left of the crossing. That's because on the 25th a tropical wave was moving through that corner of the Gulf and positioned at 94 west longitude and 24 north latitude where the circle is. Prior to this, the tropical wave was over the Yucatan on the 24th.



Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative

When Reality Clashes with Your Worldview

Saturday, June 13, 2015

June 9-12, 2015 Forecast Results

The first forecast of my article Celestial Storm Warnings that appears in the June 2015 edition of Dell Horoscope is for the period between June 9-12. The forecast was based on the astro-locality map below where we see two planetary lines (those of Mercury and Neptune) crossing south of New England and east of Virginia around 70 west longitude and 36 north latitude.

  June Full Moon
Although the article deals with hurricane forecasts, I mentioned it might be too early on in the season at this particular location for a tropical system to form. Therefore, I said there might be a non-tropical low pressure area that forms there or a front.

The National Weather Service forecast map for June 8th shows a stationary front forming over 70 west longitude and about 33 north latitude, as shown in the next map.

08 Atlantic

Then on the 9th, the NWS map shows a low pressure area forming around 35 north latitude but a bit farther east at around 64 west longitude. It's shown on the next map and labeled with an "L" and the number 576.

09 Atlantic

It's interesting to note that the planetary lines in the astro-locality map extend northward through New England. On the 9th, AccuWeather.com posted the following map showing severe thunderstorms with hail and damaging winds for the New England area.

09 Northeast

Links to Other Long-range Weather Forecasts and Forecast Results

Hurricane Season 2015 Long-range Weather Predictions
Tropical Cyclone Hadi
Hurricane Erick Fulfills Long-range Forecast
Tropical Storm Andrea Fulfills Long-range Forecast!
Timing the Relief for Drought-Stricken U.S. Plains
Testing Astrometeorology Part 2
Hurricane Sandy Fulfills Long-range Weather Prediction!
Testing Astrometeorology Part 1
Hurricane Season 2011 Forecast Results
Hurricane Risk-Management
New Weather Alternative Website
Fulfilled Long-range Forecasts for Hurricane Season 2010
Introduction to the Weather Alternative